Good essay Jan. You might be spot on regarding the timing. But collapse takes many forms. It is not all Jared Diamond. Our economic mismanagement is criminal, note: https://medium.com/@daneke/when-the-wank-became-swank-money-banking-and-the-evolution-of-the-all-debt-economy-22e334f8ee3e However, the major intractable variable is climate change, and it is there that we are really up shit creek without a paddle. Hold on to your butts.