Great essay Denise, however, new inference processes, do not completely resolve the Bayesian problem, in fact they might actually compound it. Meanwhile much of human reasoning is based in hidden ideological biases or cultural impulses, that cannot easily be reduced to rational interactive causality patterns. As for AGI, I think it is still an Alien Intelligence, note: https://medium.com/@daneke/it-is-a-thing-thing-openai-artificial-general-intelligence-and-the-emergence-of-alien-life-on-432877b548c3